The COVID-19 pandemic is a major worldwide disruptive crisis, and it affects our daily life, society and economy in an unprecedented way. Many of the consequences that might emerge from this crisis are still unknown leading to a high level of uncertainty in several policy domains.
In this highly interactive course, we explore how we can use Strategic Foresight to better prepare for change in the national security domain. By applying a scenario methodology, we explore the key uncertainties and driving forces that will shape our future. We will develop several scenarios and discuss the potential impact, specifically on national security. Furthermore, we will learn how to use horizon scanning to look beyond the immediate horizon and identify potential developments that could influence the future.
We will also look back, to examen, in hindsight, did we foresee a pandemic and were we right about the expected impact on national security? Where were we wrong and which lessons can we draw from any mistakes?
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Minke Meijnders is an expert in Strategic Foresight, focusing on geopolitics, geo-economics and international security issues. She is a former Research Fellow at the Clingendael Institute, the leading think tank on international relations in the Netherlands. In this function, she co-headed the Strategic Foresight Programme of the Security Unit and was part of the Dutch Network of Safety and Security Analyst. Currently, she works as an external consultant at Policy Horizons Canada, where she is involved in Foresight on Covid-19. Ms. Meijnders has a background in International Politics and International Security Studies.